Some philosophers maintain that if determinism holds in our world,
then there are no objective chances in our world. And often
the word ‘chance’ here is taken to be synonymous with
'probability', so these philosophers maintain that there are no
non-trivial objective probabilities for events in our world. (The
caveat “non-trivial” is added here because on some accounts all future
events that actually happen have probability, conditional on past
history, equal to 1, and future events that do not happen have
probability equal to zero. Non-trivial probabilities are
probabilities
strictly between zero and one.) Conversely, it is often held, if
there are laws of nature that are irreducibly probabilistic,
determinism must be false. (Some philosophers would go on to add that
such irreducibly probabilistic laws are the basis of whatever genuine
objective chances obtain in our world.)
mai 25, 2012
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